These voter file records become available in the months after the election. 12, 2016) among those who were identified as having voted using official voting records. The analysis in this report uses post-election survey reports of 2016 vote preferences (conducted Nov. See also: A Demographic Profile of 2018 Midterm Voters This report introduces a new approach for looking at the electorate in the 2016 general election: matching members of Pew Research Center’s nationally representative American Trends Panel to voter files to create a dataset of verified voters. Even the special surveys conducted by major news organizations on Election Day – the “exit polls” – face challenges from refusals to participate and from the fact that a sizable minority of voters actually vote prior to Election Day and must be interviewed using conventional surveys beforehand. Surveys conducted after an election can be affected by errors stemming from respondents’ recall, either for whom they voted for or whether they voted at all. Depending on when a survey is conducted, voters might change their preferences before Election Day. Surveys conducted before an election can overstate – or understate – the likelihood of some voters to vote. Obtaining accurate data on how people voted is difficult for a number of reasons. elections is establishing an accurate portrait of the American electorate and the choices made by different kinds of voters. One of the biggest challenges facing those who seek to understand U.S.
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